Quality assessment of crude and processed Arecae semen based on colorimeter and HPLC combined with chemometrics methods

Raw Arecae Semen, the seed of Areca catechu L., as well as Arecae Semen Tostum and Arecae semen carbonisata are traditionally processed by stir‐baking for subsequent use in a variety of clinical applications. These three Arecae semen types, important Chinese herbal drugs, have been used in China and other Asian countries for thousands of years. In this study, the sensory technologies of a colorimeter and sensitive validated high‐performance liquid chromatography with diode array detection were employed to discriminate raw Arecae semen and its processed drugs. The color parameters of the samples were determined by a colorimeter instrument CR‐410. Moreover, the fingerprints of the four alkaloids of arecaidine, guvacine, arecoline and guvacoline were surveyed by high‐performance liquid chromatography. Subsequently, Student's t test, the analysis of variance, fingerprint similarity analysis, hierarchical cluster analysis, principal component analysis, factor analysis and Pearson's correlation test were performed for final data analysis. The results obtained demonstrated a significant color change characteristic for components in raw Arecae semen and its processed drugs. Crude and processed Arecae semen could be determined based on colorimetry and high‐performance liquid chromatography with a diode array detector coupled with chemometrics methods for a comprehensive quality evaluation.     

On the construction of non-affine jump-diffusion models

We describe a method for construction of jump analogues of certain one-dimensional diffusion processes satisfying solvable stochastic differential equations. The method is based on the reduction of the original stochastic differential equations to the ones with linear diffusion coefficients, which are reducible to the associated ordinary differential equations, by using the appropriate integrating factor processes. The analogues are constructed by means of adding the jump components linearly into the reduced stochastic differential equations. We illustrate the method by constructing jump analogues of several diffusion processes and expand the notion of market price of risk to the resulting non-affine jump-diffusion models.     

Statistical and Geometrical Way of Model Selection for a Family of Subdivision Schemes

The objective of this article is to introduce a generalized algorithm to produce the m-point n-ary approximating subdivision schemes(for any integer m, n ≥ 2). The proposed algorithm has been derived from uniform B-spline blending functions. In particular, we study statistical and geometrical/traditional methods for the model selection and assessment for selecting a subdivision curve from the proposed family of schemes to model noisy and noisy free data. Moreover, we also discuss the deviation of subdivision curves generated by proposed family of schemes from convex polygonal curve. Furthermore, visual performances of the schemes have been presented to compare numerically the Gibbs oscillations with the existing family of schemes.     

The modeling of coalition for environmental protection within co-utility framework

The game theoretic modelling of coalition for environmental protection within the framework of a new concept of co-utility is discussed. The co-utility concept contains mainly two elements. Firstly, agents can increase their payoffs by collaborating with each-other. Secondly, the outcome of collaboration is robust towards internal and external disturbances. The advantages of using of co-utility are two-fold. Primarily, the co-utility concept is broad and can serve as an umbrella concept in all applications where agents have a space for simultaneous improvement of payoffs. Secondly the co-utility concept can be associated with different stability concept such as myopic or farsighted stability. The myopic and farsighted co-utile sets are defined and their element-co-utile outcomes are found.     

基于权重比的民航飞行员安全行为指标权重算法

确定飞行员安全行为指标的权重,对发现民航飞行员飞行安全风险的短板,提高民航飞行安全性具有重要意义.基于指标权重比,提出了一种飞行员安全行为指标权重算法.并以此算法分析了职业安全意识、飞行情景意识、特情应变能力以及机组资源管理能力等指标对飞行员安全行为的影响程度,研究可为飞行员安全行为风险管理提供依据,对安全飞行具有积极的指导意义.     

基于时变SJC-Copula对商品期货市场间风险传染的探究

分别选取WIND商品指数和CRB指数作为衡量我国商品期货市场及国际商品期货市场综合价格的指标,利用时变SJC-Copula模型构建两者之间的动态相依结构,通过动态的尾部相关系数来探究我国商品期货市场与国际市场间的尾部相关性.实证结果表明,我国商品期货市场与国际市场间的上尾相关性要强于下尾相关性,即当商品期货价格上涨时,两个市场间更易发生风险传染.     

考虑事故风险损失的爆炸物品经济订货批量模型研究

爆炸物品在储存过程中存在发生爆炸事故,从而给人类和环境带来伤害的可能,因此在对爆炸物品进行采购决策时必需考虑由此带来的风险损失.在给出爆炸物品事故风险损失度量方法的基础上,建立了爆炸物品的经济订货批量模型,证明了模型存在唯一最优解,并给出了模型的求解步骤,为相关企业合理制定采购决策提供了理论依据.数字算例分析了事故概率、赔偿标准、单位库存费、单次采购费对最优批量的影响,比较了考虑事故风险损失与否时的最优批量,结果表明,当事故概率或赔偿标准较高时,两者对应的最优批量差异明显.这也说明,当事故概率或赔偿标准达到一定程度时,考虑事故风险损失是十分必要的.     

论双系统估计量的无偏性

人口普查质量评估中所使用的双系统估计量是否为无偏估计量是一个很值得深入讨论的问题。只有无偏,才能确保使用双系统估计量估计的目标总体实际人数及人口普查净误差平均等于它们的实际数。针对人口普查质量评估工作中所使用的双系统估计量,论证这个估计量的无偏性条件。采用从既定假设出发进行推演的路径论证。研究结果表明,双系统估计量是目标总体实际人数无偏估计量的必要但非充分的条件是,人口普查与其质量评估调查相互独立以及目标总体中的每一个人在人口普查中的登记概率相同,在质量评估调查中登记的概率也相同。